Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.008351 0.009889 0.011751 0.014209 0.017428 0.021591 0.027536
2025-03-23 0.006348 0.008130 0.010547 0.014195 0.019817 0.028654 0.044813
2025-03-30 0.005133 0.006886 0.009434 0.013628 0.020859 0.034015 0.063646
2025-04-06 0.004398 0.006109 0.008731 0.013352 0.022101 0.040245 0.090470
2025-04-13 0.003977 0.005700 0.008471 0.013682 0.024507 0.050288 0.141330
2025-04-20 0.003731 0.005510 0.008510 0.014532 0.028329 0.066755 0.252898
2025-04-27 0.003484 0.005273 0.008411 0.015074 0.031737 0.085723 0.460499
2025-05-04 0.003210 0.004948 0.008090 0.015059 0.033764 0.102829 0.797734
2025-05-11 0.002977 0.004664 0.007797 0.015025 0.035762 0.123031 1.502610
2025-05-18 0.002744 0.004352 0.007400 0.014651 0.036595 0.139768 2.765119
2025-05-25 0.002506 0.004007 0.006890 0.013894 0.035882 0.147849 4.488658
2025-06-01 0.002324 0.003750 0.006529 0.013437 0.036046 0.162594 9.366663
2025-06-08 0.002202 0.003610 0.006428 0.013736 0.039592 0.214523 120.370185
2025-06-15 0.002067 0.003433 0.006229 0.013743 0.042211 0.273225 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001910 0.003197 0.005867 0.013202 0.042217 0.308577 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001789 0.003023 0.005620 0.012937 0.043406 0.370393 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001718 0.002939 0.005568 0.013253 0.047802 0.527532 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001680 0.002920 0.005663 0.014067 0.055887 0.920201 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001628 0.002866 0.005666 0.014585 0.063079 1.585334 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001555 0.002760 0.005526 0.014570 0.066866 2.384942 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001487 0.002660 0.005390 0.014538 0.070691 3.763880 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001411 0.002537 0.005180 0.014180 0.071673 5.207894 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001326 0.002389 0.004890 0.013457 0.068963 5.659564 NaN